KARACHI (The Thursday Times) — State Bank of Pakistan ne is maali saal ke liye workers ki remittances ka andaza barha kar 45 arab dollar kar diya hai aur ummeed zahir ki hai ke June 2027 tak us ke zarmubadla ke zakhaire barh kar 25 arab dollar tak pahunch jayenge. Governor Jameel Ahmad ne kaha ke mulk ab bairooni khate ke lihaz se "khatre ke daire se bahar" hai.
Markazi bank ke taza monetary policy faisle par, jis ne stock market ko hila kar rakh diya tha, Karachi mein press conference se khitab karte hue Ahmad ne kaha ke FY27 ki pehli timahi mein remittances mazboot rahin, jis ke baad bank ne poore saal ka andaza 44 arab dollar se barha diya.
SBP ke apne zakhaire 21.5 arab dollar hain, jo taqreeban teen maheene ki imports ke barabar hain, jabke kuch saal pehle yeh 2.8 arab dollar thay. Bank ko ummeed hai ke yeh December ke aakhir tak 23 arab dollar aur June tak 25 arab dollar tak pahunch jayenge. Ahmad ne kaha ke yeh hadaf "bairooni qarzon ki adaigiyon ka hisab lagane ke baad tai kiya gaya" hai, jis mein doosri maali zarooratein bhi shamil hain. Markazi bank ne pichhle teen saal mein market se taqreeban 30 arab dollar khareede hain.
Exports, imports aur growth
Bank ka andaza hai ke is saal exports 32.5 arab dollar se 33 arab dollar aur imports taqreeban 71 arab dollar hongi, aur woh ab bhi current account deficit ko GDP ke 0 se 1% ki apni pichhli hadd ke andar dekhta hai.
FY26 ki pehli teen timahiyon mein growth ka ausat 4.2% raha, lekin aakhri timahi kamzor rehne ke baad poore saal ke liye yeh 3.7% par aa gayi. SBP ne FY27 ke liye growth ka andaza 3.5 se 4.5% par barqarar rakha.
"Lekin yeh manzarnama kai khatraat ke liye hassas rehta hai," Ahmad ne kaha. Unhon ne commodity prices, aalami maali halaat ke sakht hone aur supply ki rukawaton ki taraf ishara kiya.
Remittances kyun barh rahi hain
Governor ne kaha ke remittances mein izafe ki wajah sirf yeh nahin ho sakti ke zyada Pakistani kaam ke liye mulk se bahar ja rahe hain. Har saal kaam ke liye bahar jane walon ki tadad 2015 mein sab se zyada, 9 lakh ke qareeb, thi aur ab taqreeban 8 lakh 40 hazar hai. Unhon ne zyada paise ke rasmi zaraye se aane ka sehra behtar exchange rate, under-invoicing mein kami, sarhadon par sakht nigrani aur exchange companies mein islahat ko diya.
Unhon ne is raye ko mustarad kar diya ke oonchi interest rates exports ke sust raftari se barhne ki bunyadi wajah hain, aur is ke bajaye karobar ki laagat, kamzor talab aur aalami muqable ka hawala diya. Unhon ne mazeed kaha ke importers ko ab letters of credit ki foreign banks se tasdeeq karwane ke liye adaigi nahin karni parti, jis par pehle 10 se 12% laagat aati thi.
Jameel Ahmad ne yeh bhi kaha ke naye currency notes ke designs jald final kar diye jayenge aur printing ke intizamat mukammal hain, aur remittances bhejne walon ke liye Pakistan Banks Association ki 16 arab rupee ki inami scheme ka pehla draw January 2027 mein hona hai.
