ISLAMABAD (The Thursday Times) — World Bank ne apni October 2026 ki Pakistan Development Update mein kaha hai ke Pakistan ki maeeshat June mein khatm hone wale maali saal mein 3.7% barhi, jo pichhle saal 3.2% thi, jabke saal ke doosre hisse mein tawanai ki barhti hui qeematon ke sabab mehngai tezi se barh gayi.
Report, jis ka unwan Attaining Escape Velocity hai, ne bahali ko aik had tak market tak behtar rasai ka nateeja qarar diya: S&P Global aur Moody's donon ne is saal Pakistan ki credit rating barha kar bil-tarteeb "B" aur "B3" kar di, aur mulk 75 crore dollar ke Eurobond aur 3 arab dollar ki alag issuance ke saath bain-ul-aqwami bond markets mein wapas aa gaya.
Growth ko services aur zaraat ka sahara
World Bank ne kaha ke services ki paidawar 4.1% barhi, jabke zaraat mein 2.9% izafa hua, jis mein livestock ke zeli shobe ne madad ki. State Bank of Pakistan ne mehngai par qabu pane ki koshish mein saal ke dauran policy rate barha kar 11.5% kar diya.
Pakistan ki GDP growth, %
Zariya: World Bank, Pakistan Development Update, October 2026.
Mehngai mein tez izafa
Mehngai poore saal aik jaisi raftar se nahin barhi. World Bank ne kaha ke saal ke zyada tar hisse mein qeematein nisbatan narmi se barhin, phir tezi se barhne lagin: March se June 2026 ke darmiyan ausat mehngai barh kar 10.2% ho gayi, aur May mein 11.7% ki intiha ko pahunch gayi, kyunke Middle East mein jari tanaze ne tawanai ki qeematein barha deen.
Report ke mutabiq, February aur June ke darmiyan petrol ki qeematein taqreeban 36%, high-speed diesel ki taqreeban 31% aur liquefied petroleum gas ki taqreeban 46% barh gayin, jabke isi muddat mein transport ke kiraye taqreeban 30% barh gaye. State Bank ka core inflation ka paimana, jis mein ghiza aur tawanai ko alag rakha jata hai, saal bhar mein shehri ilaqon mein ausatan 7.4% aur dehi ilaqon mein 8.5% raha, aur sirf May mein shehri ilaqon mein 9% tak pahunch gaya.
Headline inflation, 2025–26, %
FY24–25 mein ausat inflation 4.5% thi. Zariya: World Bank, Pakistan Development Update, October 2026.
Ghiza ki qeematon ne dehi gharanon ko zyada mutasir kiya
World Bank ke mutabiq, saal bhar mein ghiza ki inflation shehri ilaqon mein ausatan 4.3% aur dehi ilaqon mein 5.4% rahi, jo bunyadi taur par gandum aur jaldi kharab hone wali ashya ki wajah se thi. August tak ghiza shehri aur dehi, donon ilaqon mein inflation ka sab se bara sabab ban chuki thi.
Agle saal
World Bank ka andaza hai ke maujooda maali saal 2026–27 mein growth mamooli barh kar 3.8% ho jayegi, jabke ausat inflation mein mazeed izafe ke saath 8.2% tak pahunchne ki tawaqqo hai.
