UNDER THE KNIFE:

Trump’s powerful return revives populist nationalism in US politics

Trump’s White House return reshapes the US political landscape, strengthening a populist, nationalist coalition with assertive policies on trade, alliances, and immigration.

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MAR-A-LAGO/DEARBORN (The Thursday Times) — Donald Trump’s return to the White House, following a commanding victory over Kamala Harris, signals a seismic shift in American politics. His success in capturing battleground states and popular support across diverse demographic lines reflects a remarkable comeback for the former president, who exited office under the shadow of impeachment and controversy. Now, Trump steps back onto the global stage with an “unprecedented mandate,” reinvigorating his “America First” agenda, which promises to push the United States in a more nationalist and populist direction, reshaping not only the country’s policies but also its role on the world stage.

Trump’s victory brings forth a political landscape fundamentally altered, where traditional alliances are recalibrated and domestic priorities are restructured to address the demands of a reshaped electorate. His administration is poised to adopt more assertive stances, not only in domestic policy but also in foreign affairs, with plans to impose high tariffs on imports, rein in immigration, and take a hard-line approach with both allies and rivals. For Trump, this moment is a validation of his political trajectory and a sign that the American people have embraced his vision, despite years of legal challenges and political turbulence.

Economic nationalism and domestic focus

Trump’s second term prioritises economic nationalism and a self-reliant America, advancing policies that aim to bolster manufacturing at home while limiting the impact of global supply chains. His administration’s approach is one of high tariffs and protectionist policies, geared toward reducing dependency on foreign goods. This strategy strikes a chord with his core supporters—many of whom feel neglected by decades of globalist trade policies they believe have drained American jobs and hollowed out local industries. Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on a broader range of imports reflect a calculated shift to retain jobs within the United States and to revitalise American industry.

Central to this strategy is an overhaul of immigration policy. Trump’s campaign rhetoric and policy outlines underscore a commitment to a significant crackdown on illegal immigration, with promises to strengthen border security and introduce stricter immigration enforcement measures. His platform has resonated with voters concerned about the effects of immigration on job markets, social services, and national security. Many see his immigration stance as a safeguard against economic challenges, asserting that stringent policies will curb the pressure on domestic resources and job competition.

A recalibrated foreign policy stance

Trump’s return to office is expected to redefine America’s relationships with its traditional allies and adversaries alike. In line with his first term’s “America First” outlook, Trump’s administration will likely adopt a more cautious and transactional foreign policy, prioritising the country’s interests over multilateral commitments. In his victory speech, Trump hinted at a reconfiguration of alliances, suggesting a shift away from previous diplomatic entanglements and military commitments that he perceives as costly and unbeneficial to American interests.

This approach is seen by many supporters as an assertion of American sovereignty and independence in a global context where Trump’s critics argue the United States has borne disproportionate burdens. His administration’s stance on NATO, for instance, may shift towards increased financial contributions from allies, while trade agreements will likely be renegotiated with a focus on favourable terms for the United States. Trump’s foreign policy represents a marked departure from cooperative frameworks in favour of a more isolated and unilateral approach, reflecting the expectations of a significant portion of the electorate who support this shift.

Building a populist right-wing coalition

The most defining aspect of Trump’s second term is the coalition of support he has assembled, rooted in populism and a rejection of traditional establishment politics. Trump’s alliance extends beyond typical conservative circles, bringing together a diverse range of supporters who share a common frustration with what they perceive as an elitist government that fails to address their needs. This coalition includes non-college-educated white voters, labour union members disillusioned by liberal policies, and specific minority groups that traditionally align less with the Republican Party but have rallied behind Trump’s promises of economic revitalisation and social conservatism.

Notably, Trump’s coalition has built support among Middle Eastern and Hispanic communities, who have felt drawn to his focus on economic opportunities and conservative social values. His campaign message has resonated with communities who share concerns about social issues, inflation, and perceived governmental overreach. This coalition has evolved into a formidable political base, reflecting a more complex and multifaceted Republican Party. Trump’s network of allies includes influential figures like JD Vance, a proponent of economic populism, and Elon Musk, the tech magnate who has championed deregulation and voiced scepticism of government intervention. This strategic alignment with high-profile conservatives adds weight to Trump’s coalition and broadens the Republican Party’s appeal.

A Democratic Party at a crossroads

In the wake of Trump’s sweeping victory, the Democratic Party faces a profound reckoning. The loss to Trump has brought longstanding ideological tensions within the party to the surface, as Democrats grapple with their waning influence among working-class and middle-class Americans. The decision to back Joe Biden’s re-election bid, only to pivot to Harris in the final stages of the campaign, has fuelled criticism from within the party ranks, with many questioning the party’s strategic vision and ability to address the needs of a rapidly evolving electorate.

Democrats are now confronted with the need to re-evaluate their stance on key issues, from economic policy to immigration and social values. Trump’s success among demographic groups traditionally less aligned with conservative politics—such as union members and specific minority communities—signals a realignment that could reshape the Democratic platform in the years to come. Analysts suggest that the party may need to pivot to regain the trust of voters who feel alienated by liberal stances on social issues and disillusioned by policies they perceive as benefiting only the elite.

The political significance of Trump’s revival

Trump’s return to the presidency is emblematic of a broader rightward drift in American politics, where populist sentiments and scepticism towards traditional institutions have gained traction. Trump’s ability to shed the legal and ethical controversies of his past presidency speaks to a new political environment in which voters are willing to overlook past transgressions in favour of a leader who champions their values and concerns. His success in building a coalition across various demographics—especially non-traditional Republican voters—demonstrates an evolution in the Republican Party that now embodies a populist and nationalist agenda.

In this new era, the convergence of Trump’s rhetoric with a fervent base of supporters underscores a shift towards a more polarised and populist American political landscape. Trump’s return brings with it a renewed focus on strengthening the borders, prioritising domestic industry, and resisting international influence. This movement has effectively sidelined conventional Republican politics in favour of a brand deeply rooted in the interests and grievances of ordinary Americans.

As the Democrats regroup and reflect on the reasons behind their defeat, the nation stands at a pivotal moment, facing intensified divisions and a government determined to reshape its foundational policies. Trump’s second term represents not just a personal victory but a shift in the American political ethos—a shift that will resonate domestically and internationally, as the United States reasserts itself on the global stage with a revitalised, nationalist identity.

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