WASHINGTON (The Thursday Times) — Mangal ko American shehri midterm elections mein vote dalenge, jo tai karenge ke Sadr Donald Trump ki muddat ke aakhri do saal Congress ka control kis ke paas hoga. Ballot par House ki tamam 435 seats, Senate ki 35 seats aur 36 states ki governorships hain.
Republicans ko Senate mein 53-47 ki bartari hasil hai aur House mein nihayat kam aksariyat. Iqtidar mein rehne wali jamaat midterm saalon mein riwayati taur par seats haarti rahi hai, aur is baar bhi woh aise haal mein voters ke saamne hai ke mehngai ab bhi asar dikha rahi hai aur polls ke mutabiq Iran ke saath jang napasandeeda hai.
Polling averages ke mutabiq qaumi congressional ballot par Democrats taqreeban 8 points aage hain, aur zyadatar forecasters ko tawaqqo hai ke woh House dobara hasil kar lenge. Senate mein muqabla zyada qareeb hai: models ka jhukao Democrats ki taraf hai, jabke wasi paimane par dekhi jane wali aik ranking ab bhi isay toss-up qarar deti hai. Trump peshingoi karte hain ke Republicans donon chambers par control barqarar rakhenge, aur un ka kehna hai ke agar Democrats ne control sambhala toh "yeh mulk jahannum mein chala jayega".
Democrats ko kya chahiye
Senate jeetne ke liye Democrats ko khalis 4 seats ka izafa chahiye, kyunke Naib Sadr JD Vance 50-50 ki barabri ko Republicans ke haq mein tor denge. House mein 218 seats aksariyat banati hain. Kisi bhi aik chamber ka control Democrats ko Trump ke agenda ko mehdood karne aur un ki administration ki tehqeeqat karne ka ikhtiyar dega, aur Senate unhein un ke judicial nominees ko mustarad karne ka ikhtiyar bhi dega.
Aazad election analysts Senate ki 7 races ko toss-up qarar dete hain:
- Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed, jo Senate mein muntakhib hone wale pehle Muslim honge, Republican Mike Rogers ke muqabil, us aik kante ke muqable mein jo Democrats ki pehle se maujooda seat par hai.
- Texas: Democrat James Talarico, Republican Ken Paxton ke muqabil, jo Senate ka ab tak ka sab se mehnga muqabla hai.
- Maine: Republican Susan Collins, jo chhathi muddat ki khwahan hain, Democrat Troy Jackson ke muqabil.
- Ohio: Republican Jon Husted, Democrat Sherrod Brown ke muqabil, jo apni purani seat dobara jeetne ki koshish kar rahe hain.
- Iowa: Republican Ashley Hinson, Democrat Josh Turek ke muqabil, jo Paralympic basketball ke champion hain.
- Kansas: Republican Roger Marshall, Democrat Adam Hamilton ke muqabil. Is sooba ne aakhri baar 1932 mein Democrat senator muntakhib kiya tha.
- Alaska: Republican Dan Sullivan, Democrat Mary Peltola ke muqabil, aise muqable mein jis mein ballot par Dan Sullivan naam ka aik aur ummeedwar bhi maujood hai.
Nateeje kab milenge, Pakistan ke waqt ke mutabiq
Polling chhe time zones mein lehr dar lehr band hogi, Pakistan mein Budh ki subah 4 baje se 11 baje tak:
- 4 baje: Indiana aur Kentucky ke kuch hisson mein pehli polling band hogi.
- 5 baje: Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia, Vermont aur Florida aur New Hampshire ke zyada tar hisson mein.
- 5:30 baje: Ohio, North Carolina aur West Virginia.
- 6 baje: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maine, Massachusetts, Illinois aur Texas, Michigan aur Kansas ke zyada tar hisson mein.
- 7 baje: New York, Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin aur Nebraska, saath hi Texas aur Michigan ke baqi hisse.
- 8 baje: Montana, Utah aur Idaho aur Oregon ke zyada tar hisson mein.
- 9 baje: California aur Washington state.
- 10 baje: Hawaii aur Alaska ke zyada tar hisse.
- 11 baje: aakhri polling, Alaska mein.
Mumkin hai ke tab tak koi wazeh fatih saamne na aaye. California ke mail ballots House ki aakhri ginti mein takheer ka sabab ban sakte hain, Alaska mein nateeje aam taur par der se aate hain aur wahan ranked-choice voting hoti hai, aur agar kisi ummeedwar ko aksariyat hasil na ho toh Georgia mein Senate ka muqabla runoff mein chala jata hai.
Pehle ishare Kentucky ke 6th aur Indiana ke 5th districts mein House ki un seats se milenge, jo donon Republicans ke paas hain aur jahan muqabla muhim ke aaghaz mein nazar aane wale muqable se zyada sakht hai, aur Florida ke 22nd aur 27th districts se bhi. Wahan qareebi muqable Democrats ki zyada bari raat ki taraf ishara karenge.
Dunya kyun dekh rahi hai
Yeh voting Iran bohran ke beech ho rahi hai. US ke ahalkaron ne kaha hai ke agar Republicans haar gaye toh Trump Iran par bare hamle ka hukm de sakte hain, aur ahalkaron ke mutabiq Israeli Wazir-e-Azam Benjamin Netanyahu ne unhein midterms ke fauran baad hamla karne par zor diya, jabke Pakistani aur Qatari mediators Strait of Hormuz par kashidagi khatm karne ki koshishein jari rakhe hue hain.
Voters 145 statewide ballot measures par bhi faisla karenge, jin mein Californian billionaires par aik baar ka 5% wealth tax, Missouri, Idaho, Virginia aur Nevada mein abortion ke huqooq, aur 11 states mein voter ID ya ghair shehriyon ke voting karne ke qawaid shamil hain.
