WASHINGTON (The Thursday Times) — Naib sadr JD Vance ke qareebi afraad ke mutabiq rawan maah ke wast-e-muddati intikhabat mein Republicans ki bhaari shikast ke baad unhon ne 2028 mein sadarti intikhab na larne par sanjeedgi se ghaur kiya hai, taham unhon ne abhi koi faisla nahin kiya aur White House ke liye umeedwar banne ka imkaan poori tarah barqarar hai.
Un ke taqreeban aik darjan ittehadi aur musheer aik aise naib sadr ki tasveer pesh karte hain jo apne azaim ko bikhre hue MAGA ittehad, Iran ke saath aik ghair maqbool jang aur chhote bachon wale khandan ki zimmedariyon ke muqable mein tol rahe hain. Is mausam-e-garma mein un ke chauthe bache ki paidaish hui. Vance ne faisle ke liye koi timeline muqarrar nahin ki, aur un ke kuch ittehadi israr karte hain ke ab bhi is baat ka zyada imkaan hai ke woh intikhab larenge.
Un ke aik qareebi shakhs ne kaha: “Woh jo bhi faisla karein, mujhe hairat nahin hogi. Woh sirf 42 saal ke hain. Woh itne jawan hain ke agar maujooda mahaul mein kamyabi na-mumkin ho to baad mein wapsi kar sakte hain. Shayad yeh un ka waqt na ho.”
Jang ka sawal
Ittehadiyon ke nazdeek Iran ke saath jang, jo Amreeka aur Israel ne 28 February ko shuru ki thi, Vance ki intikhabi muhim ki raah mein sab se bari rukawat hai, aur un ka kehna hai ke bohat kuch is baat par munhasir hai ke aaya sadr Donald Trump ise jald khatam kar paate hain. Aik ittehadi ne kaha: “Agar unhon ne Iran mein jang khatam na ki to kisi Republican ke paas 2028 mein koi mauqa nahin.”
3 November ki voting ki agli subah Vance ne X par 617 alfaaz ka aik paigham jaari kiya jis mein shikast ka zimmedar jang ko thehraya gaya. Unhon ne likha: “Hum jang ki wajah se haare. Sadr ne khud kal raat yehi kaha”, aur mazeed kaha ke “sab jaante hain ke hum kyun haare” aur yeh ke “aage ke raaste par koi bhi diyanatdarana guftagu yahin se shuru honi chahiye.” Unhon ne jang khatam karne, mehngai se nimatne, andaruni masail par dobara tawajjoh dene aur Israel ke saath Amreeka ke taluqaat par nazar-e-saani ka bhi mutalba kiya.
Un ke hamiyon ne is paigham ko mumkina intikhabi muhim ka khaka samjha. Mamle se waqif do afraad ke mutabiq is paigham ne Trump ko bhi naraz kiya, jo is baat par khafa the ke Vance ne jang mein jaane ke faisle ka awami satah par difa nahin kiya. Awami satah par Trump ne ise nazarandaz kiya. Unhon ne itwar ko sahafiyon se kaha: “Woh durust the, siwaye aik baat ke. Unhein aik aur baat bhi kehni chahiye thi: ‘Agar aap ko dobara yeh karna pare to kya aap dobara karenge?’ Jawab haan hai.” White House ke aik ohdedar ne kaha ke sadr ko paigham jaari hone se pehle aagah kar diya gaya tha aur unhein “is par koi aitraz nahin tha.”
Jumeraat ko Trump ne Vance ko Iran muzakraat se hata diya aur unhein hidayat ki ke woh apni “mukammal aur poori tawajjoh” andaroon-e-mulk badunwani par dein. Vance in muzakraat mein Amreeki wafd ki qayadat kar rahe the, jin mein April mein Islamabad mein hone wala daur bhi shamil tha.
Trump ne yeh nahin kaha ke woh apne naib sadr ki himayat karenge. Vance keh chuke hain ke agar woh intikhab lare to unhein sadr ki himayat milne ki tawaqqo hai, lekin Trump ne apne muawineen ko bataya hai ke woh kuch arsa primary se door reh kar dekhna chahte hain ke umeedwar kaisi karkardagi dikhate hain. Aik television interview mein jab un se poocha gaya ke kya woh aakhirkar kisi ki himayat karenge, to unhon ne kaha: “Shayad — zaroori nahin.”
Maidan ‘khul chuka hai’
Deegar Republican rehnuma pehle hi sargarm ho chuke hain, jin mein Florida ke governor Ron DeSantis, Texas ke senator Ted Cruz aur Georgia ke governor Brian Kemp shamil hain. Vance ke ittehadi kehte hain ke woh fikrmand nahin, aur nishandahi karte hain ke munqasim maidan ne 2016 aur 2024 mein Trump ko namzadgi jeetne mein madad di thi, aur yeh ke siyasat mein do saal aik taweel arsa hota hai. Qadamat-pasand mubassir, Trump ke naqid aur Vance ke qareebi dost Tucker Carlson ne teesri jamaat ki janib se intikhab larne ka ishara diya hai.
Surveys ke mutabiq 2024 mein Trump ko muntakhib karane wala taqreeban har tabqa is saal Republicans se door ho gaya, jin mein mard, naujawan voter, Latino Amreeki aur college degree ke baghair safed faam voter shamil hain. Is tehreek ke qareeb samjhe jaane wale survey-kaar Rich Baris ne kaha: “MAGA khatam ho chuka hai.” Un ka mauqif tha ke Vance ab bhi ise dobara khara karne ke liye behtareen position wale Republican hain, lekin unhein in voters ko “dobara yaqeen dilana” hoga.
Samaji qadamat-pasand group American Principles Project ke sadr Terry Schilling ne kaha ke agar Vance intikhab na lare to unhein hairat hogi, aur unhein “general banne ke liye bilkul tayyar” qarar diya. Taham unhon ne tasleem kiya ke muqabla kitna badal chuka hai. Unhon ne kaha: “Mere khayal mein maidan poori tarah khul chuka hai, aur koi wazeh jaanasheen nahin.”
Un ke ittehadiyon ka kehna hai ke agar woh intikhab lare to paisa masla nahin hoga. Vance ne guzishta aik saal Republican National Committee ke finance chair ke taur par guzara hai aur Elon Musk aur Peter Thiel se un ke qareebi taluqaat hain. Mulaqat se waqif aik shakhs ke mutabiq un se wabasta atiya dehindgan ke aik group, Rockbridge Network, ne is hafte Houston mein mulaqat ki taake un ke faisle ke intezar mein khud ko dobara munazzam kiya ja sake. Trump ke wafadar samjhe jaane wale Stephen Miller, jin ki tarjeehat Vance se milti julti samjhi jaati hain, is hafte White House ke chief of staff ke ohde par taraqqi pa gaye.
