Jab Afghanistan ke Taliban hukkam ne United Nations ke monitors ko bataya ke Afghan sarzameen par koi dehshatgard tanzeem maujood nahin, toh UN ke rukn mulkon mein se aik bhi mulk ne ittefaq nahin kiya.
Yeh nateeja aalami dehshatgardi par UN ke taza tareen jaize ka markazi nukta hai. Pabandiyon ki nigrani karne wali is ki team ne, February 2026 mein shaya hone wali report mein, aise Afghanistan ki tasweer pesh ki hai jahan Tehreek-e-Taliban PakistanDehshatgard tanzeemon ka aik ittehad jo 2007 mein qaim hua aur Pakistan ke andar hamlon ki muhim chalata hai. Yeh Afghan Taliban se alag hai, lekin un ka ittehadi hai. Pakistan ki hukumat ise Fitna al-Khawarij kehti hai. (TTP) "zyada azadi aur himayat" ke saath kaam karti hai, jahan Al-Qaida ko "de facto hukkamTaliban hukumat ke liye UN ki istilah, jo August 2021 mein iqtidar mein aayi aur jise UN tasleem nahin karta. ki sarparasti hasil rehti rahi", aur jahan Al-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent ke rehnumaon ke bare mein bataya gaya ke woh Kabul mein muqeem hain.
Yeh tanbeehein sirf UN ki taraf se nahin aa rahin. Russia ne, jo Taliban hukumat ko baqaida tasleem karne wala pehla mulk hai, May mein Shanghai Cooperation OrganisationAik tahaffuzi aur maeeshati bloc jis ke arkan mein China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Iran aur Central Asia ke kai mumalik shamil hain. ke aik ijlas mein kaha ke 20 se zyada tanzeemon ke 18,000 se 23,000 dehshatgard Afghanistan mein sargarm hain. US intelligence ne Islamic State ki Afghan shaakh ka naam un tanzeemon mein liya hai jin ke bairoon-e-mulk hamlon ki sazish karne ke imkanat sab se zyada hain. Aur Global Terrorism IndexDehshatgardi ke asarat ke lihaz se mulkon ki saalana darja bandi, jise Sydney mein qaim Institute for Economics and Peace shaya karta hai. ke mutabiq Afghanistan ke hamsaya mulk Pakistan dunya mein dehshatgardi se sab se zyada mutasir mulk hai.
Yehi imtizaj, yani aik hi ilaqe mein kai sarhad paar tanzeemon ka aise hukumati hukkam ke zer-e-saya panah lena jin par un mein se kuch ko tahaffuz dene ka ilzam hai, security analysts aur ilaqai hukumaton ko Afghanistan ko dehshatgardi ka aalami markaz qarar dene par aamada karta hai.
Kai tanzeemon ki panahgah
Afghanistan kisi aik dehshatgard tanzeem se mansoob nahin hai. UN ki report mein paanch tanzeemon ko mulk mein sargarm bataya gaya hai, jin mein se har aik ke ahdaf mukhtalif hain, Pakistan aur China se le kar Central Asia aur baqi dunya tak.
Russia ke Security Council ke secretary Sergei Shoigu ne May mein SCO se khitab karte hue dehshatgardi aur manshiyat ki smuggling ke "is ke ilaqe se uthne wale" khatrat ko ilaqai amn ke liye khaas taur par aham qarar diya. Unhon ne Syria se Afghanistan pahunchne wale Uyghur, Tajik aur Uzbek dehshatgardon ki aamad se bhi khabardar kiya.
Pakistan sab se zyada mutasir
Kisi mulk ne in nataij ko Pakistan se zyada barah-e-raast mehsoos nahin kiya. Institute for Economics and Peace ke shaya kiye gaye Global Terrorism Index 2026 mein Pakistan pehli baar pehle number par aaya, jahan 2025 mein 1,139 halakatein aur 1,045 waqiat hue, jo 2013 ke baad sab se oonchi satah hai. Index is izafe ko kuch had tak 2021 mein Afghanistan mein Taliban ki iqtidar mein wapsi se jorta hai.
Index TTP ko Pakistan mein sab se zyada jaan lewa aur dunya mein teesri sab se zyada jaan lewa jamaat qarar deta hai. Is ka andaza hai ke 6,000 se 6,500 TTP dehshatgard Afghanistan ke andar se karrawai karte hain. Sarhad ke qareeb jamaat ke zyadatar hamle sarhad se 10 se 50 kilometre ke fasle par hote hain, aur is ke 85% hamle sabiqa qabaili ilaqon mein hote hain, jo ab Khyber Pakhtunkhwa ka hissa hain.
Yeh adad-o-shumar aik bahar bheje gaye khatre ki taraf ishara karte hain. Afghanistan pehli baar index ke top 10 mein se bahar ho gaya hai, aur 2007 se ab tak wahan dehshatgardi se hone wali mauton mein 95% kami aayi hai, jabke sarhad paar Pakistan mein hamle barh gaye hain.
UN ki report ka sab se numayan inkishaf hathiyaron ke bare mein hai. Report ke mutabiq TTP ne jadeed assault rifles, night-vision aur thermal-imaging aalat, sniper systems aur drones istemal kiye, aur in mein se zyadatar "de facto hukkam ki taraf se hathiyaron ke permits aur safari dastawezat ke saath faraham kiye gaye". Kai rukn mulkon ne kaha ke sabiqa ittehadi afwaj ke chhore gaye hathiyaron ne TTP ke hamlon ko zyada halakat khez bana diya.
"De facto hukkam ki taraf se hathiyaron ke permits aur safari dastawezat ke saath faraham kiye gaye."
UN Monitoring Team, TTP ke hathiyaron ke bare mein
November 2025 mein TTP se alag hone wale aik group ne Islamabad mein aik adalat ki imarat par hamle ki zimmedari qabool ki, jis mein 12 log halak hue; kai saal mein dar-ul-hukumat mein yeh pehla hamla tha. February 2026 mein, Pakistan ke andar mazeed hamlon, Afghan ilaqe par Pakistani fazai hamlon aur sarhad par Taliban ki jawabi karrawai ke baad, Pakistan ke Wazir-e-Difa Khawaja Asif ne surat-e-haal ko "khuli jang" qarar diya.
Kuch rukn mulkon ne UN ko yeh bhi bataya ke Baloch Liberation Army ne mushtarka training camps aur wasail ke zariye TTP aur ISIL-K ke saath taawun kiya, magar doosre mulkon ko is group ka Al-Qaida ya ISIL se koi taalluq nahin mila. Pakistan ne India par bhi ilzam lagaya hai ke woh us ke ilaqe ko nishana banane wale dehshatgard groups ki himayat karta hai, jise India mustarad karta hai.
Al-Qaida ka purana thikana
Afghanistan ki shohrat ki jarein tareekh mein hain. Taliban ne 11 September ke hamlon se pehle Al-Qaida ko panah di thi, aur July 2022 mein Al-Qaida ke sarbarah Ayman al-Zawahiri ko Kabul mein aik safe house par US drone hamle mein halak kar diya gaya. US ahalkaron ne kaha ke Haqqani NetworkSirajuddin Haqqani, jo Afghanistan ke wazir-e-dakhla hain, ki qiyadat mein kaam karne wala Taliban ke andar aik taqatwar dhara. ke senior arkan ko maloom tha ke woh wahan maujood hai.
UN ka kehna hai ke Al-Qaida tarbiyat aur mashwaron ke zariye Afghanistan mein doosri tanzeemon, khaas taur par TTP, ke liye "khidmat faraham karne wali aur taqat mein izafa karne wali" ka kirdar ada karti hai, aur yeh ke "sansanikhez" bairoon-e-mulk hamlon ki us ki khwahish ab bhi kam nahin hui. AQISAl-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent, tanzeem ki Janoobi Asia mein shaakh, jis ka elan Ayman al-Zawahiri ne 2014 mein kiya tha. ke sarbarahon Osama Mahmoud aur Yahya Ghauri ke bare mein khabar hai ke woh Kabul mein hain, jabke tanzeem ka media cell Herat mein qaim hai.
US intelligence ke jaizon mein aik qaid bhi shamil hai: March 2026 ki US Congressional Research Service ki report ke mutabiq Afghanistan ab bhi Al-Qaida ki mehfooz panahgah hai, lekin us ki qiyadat ghaliban bairoon-e-mulk hamlon ki mansooba bandi par Taliban ki pabandiyon ki pairwi karti hai.
ISIL-K ki aalami rasai
Ilaqe se bahar khatre ka sab se wazeh saboot ISIL-KIslamic State Khorasan, jise ISIS-K bhi kaha jata hai: Afghanistan, Pakistan aur wasee ilaqe ke liye Islamic State ki shaakh, jo 2015 mein qaim hui. Yeh Taliban se jang mein hai. se milta hai. Is tanzeem ne 2021 mein Kabul airport par khudkush dhamaka kiya, jis mein 13 US fauji ahlkar halak hue, aur 2024 mein Iran aur Russia mein bari tadad mein halakaton wale hamle bhi isi se mansoob kiye gaye. US intelligence ka kehna hai ke is ne Europe mein bhi hamlon ki sazish ki, jinhein baad mein nakam bana diya gaya. January 2026 mein is ne Kabul mein aik Chinese restaurant par bomb hamla kiya, jis mein 7 log halak hue, aur UN monitors ne February mein Islamabad ki aik Shia masjid mein hone wale khudkush dhamake ka mumkina zimmedar bhi isi ko qarar diya, jis mein 31 log halak hue aur jis ki zimmedari ISIL in Pakistan kehlane wale aik group ne qabool ki.
US intelligence community ke 2026 ke Annual Threat Assessment mein is tanzeem ko un groups mein shumar kiya gaya hai jin ke bairoon-e-mulk sazish karne ka sab se zyada imkan hai, jin mein Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula aur Syria mein Islamic State bhi shamil hain. UN ka kehna hai ke is ne "aham amli aur jangi salahiyat" barqarar rakhi aur apni safein tezi se poori karne ki salahiyat bhi, jis mein online bharti bhi shamil hai.
Lekin ISIL-K Taliban ki dushman hai. US intelligence ka kehna hai ke Taliban ne is tanzeem ke khilaf wasee chhape maare aur ghaliban kuch hamle nakam bana diye, jabke UN monitors ki August 2026 ki report ke mutabiq is ke hamle Afghanistan ke andar kam ho rahe hain lekin Pakistan mein barh rahe hain.
China ki tashweesh
UN ki report ke mutabiq, de facto hukkam ki sarparasti mein, jin mein shanakhti dastawezat jari karna bhi shamil hai, ETIM/TIPEastern Turkistan Islamic Movement, jo Turkistan Islamic Party ke naam se bhi jani jati hai, aik Uyghur dehshatgard tanzeem hai jo Xinjiang ko China se alag karna chahti hai. ke arkan Afghanistan ke andar azadi se naql-o-harkat kar sakte thay aur rafta rafta Badakhshan mein markooz ho gaye. Bataya gaya hai ke 2025 mein taqreeban 250 arkan Taliban ki police forces mein shamil ho gaye. Aik rukn mulk ne kaha ke is tanzeem ne Syria mein maujood apne arkan se kaha tha ke woh "jihad ke liye Xinjiang wapas jane" ki tayyari ke taur par Afghanistan muntaqil ho jayein.
Naye auzar
Nigranon ne yeh bhi khabardar kiya hai ke dehshatgard tanzeemein door daraz ilaqon mein sasta aur nisbatan mehfooz rabta rakhne ke liye tijarati satellite rabton ka istemal kar rahi hain, aur khaas taur par propaganda ke liye artificial intelligence mein zyada mahir hoti ja rahi hain.
Taliban ka jawab
Taliban is baat ki tardeed karte hain ke Afghan sarzameen doosre mulkon par hamle ke liye istemal hoti hai. European Union Agency for Asylum ke mutabiq 2021 mein un ke iqtidar par qabze ke baad se Afghanistan ke andar musallah tashaddud mein tez kami aayi hai, aur Taliban forces ISIL-K se larti rahi hain.
Nigranon ki August 2026 ki report mein yeh bhi kaha gaya ke Taliban ne tanzeem ko mehdood karne ke liye TTP ke taqreeban 2,000 dehshatgardon aur un ke khandanon ko Pakistani sarhad se door muntaqil kar diya hai, aur khabron ke mutabiq Taliban rehnuma Hibatullah Akhundzada ne TTP ko khabardar kiya ke woh Pakistan par hamle rok de, warna Taliban ki himayat khone ka khatra mol le. Taliban Pakistan par shehri ilaqon ko nishana banane ka ilzam lagate hain, aur Afghanistan mein UN mission ne sarhad paar tashaddud se shehri jaani nuqsanat ko qalamband kiya hai.
Aik markaz, agarche wahid nahin
UN khabardar karta hai ke koi aik mulk ya khitta aalami dehshatgardi ka markaz nahin kaha ja sakta, aur Global Terrorism Index yeh khitab sub-Saharan Africa ko deta hai. Lekin Afghanistan aik aisi surat ki wajah se sab se alag hai jis ki misal koi aur maidan pesh nahin karta: Al-Qaida ke saath us ki tareekh, wahan panah lene wale groups ki tadad, South Asia, Central Asia aur China ke darmiyan us ka muqam, aur yeh musalsal shawahid ke Kabul ke hukkam in mein se kuch groups ki himayat karte hain jabke doosron se lar rahe hain.
"Us ka khatra us ki sarhadon ke andar hamlon se nahin, balke wahan maujood groups se napa jata hai."
Afghanistan ko dehshatgardi ka aalami markaz kehne ki dalil yehi hai. Us ka khatra us ki sarhadon ke andar hone wale hamlon se nahin napa jata, jahan 2007 se dehshatgardi se hone wali halakaton mein 95% kami aayi hai, balke wahan maujood un groups se napa jata hai jo ab bhi bharti, tarbiyat, musallah karne aur sarhad ke paar hamla karne ki salahiyat rakhte hain, Pakistan ke sarhadi zilon se le kar Moscow, Kerman aur Islamabad tak.
Hawale
- UN Security Council, Thirty-seventh report of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team, S/2026/44, 4 February 2026
- Institute for Economics and Peace, Global Terrorism Index 2026
- US Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 2026 Annual Threat Assessment
- US Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Counterterrorism Guide: ISIS-Khorasan
- AKIpress (TASS), Between 18,000 and 23,000 militants operating in Afghanistan: Shoigu
- Security Council Report, Afghanistan, March 2026 Monthly Forecast
- UN Security Council, Thirty-eighth report of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team, S/2026/651, 10 August 2026
- US Congressional Research Service, Afghanistan: Background and U.S. Policy in Brief (R45122), updated 10 March 2026
- European Union Agency for Asylum, Afghanistan Country Focus: Security situation
