PARIS (The Thursday Times) — Bain-ul-Aqwami Tawanai Agency (IEA) ka kehna hai ke Iran par jang shuru hone ke baad pehli baar tel ki aalmi mandi dobara surplus mein aa gayi hai, kyunke Khaleeji mulkon ki baramdaat talab ke muqable mein tezi se bahal ho rahi hain.
Jumay ko jaari hone wali apni mahana oil market report mein Paris mein qaim agency ne kaha ke October mein aalmi rasad 2.3 million barrel yomia barh kar 105.4 million barrel yomia ho gayi, jo August ke muqable mein 5.3 million barrel yomia zyada hai.
Oman ke siwa Khaleeji mulkon ki tel ki baramdaat guzishta mahine 18.4 million barrel yomia tak pohanch gayin, jo ab bhi jang se pehle ki satah se 26 fisad kam hain. Khaam tel ki tarseel bahal ho kar 15 million barrel yomia ho gayi, yani jang se pehle ki satah ka 82 fisad.
October mein tel ke mushahida shuda zakhair mein 52 million barrel ka izafa hua, jo June ke baad pehla izafa hai. Is izafe ka zyada tar hissa samundar mein tankers par mojood tel tha, jo 86 million barrel barh kar January ke baad ki buland tareen satah par pohanch gaya. Khushki par zakhair musalsal kam hote rahe aur kam az kam 2016 ke baad ki kam tareen satah par hain. Jang shuru hone ke baad se aalmi zakhair mein 462 million barrel ki kami ho chuki hai.
Qeematein girin, diesel ab bhi mehnga
Agency ke mutabiq North Sea Dated khaam tel ki qeemat 8 October ko 136 dollar fi barrel ki buland tareen satah se 32 fisad gir kar taqreeban 93 dollar par aa gayi. Yeh ab bhi jang se pehle ki satah se 22 dollar zyada hai.
Diesel ab bhi mandi ka sab se tang hissa hai. Isi arse mein Europe mein diesel ki qeematein 11 fisad kam huin, lekin taqreeban 180 dollar fi barrel par yeh ab bhi jang se pehle ki satah se 77 fisad zyada hain. Khaleej se refined masnoowat aur LPG ki baramdaat jang se pehle ke hajm ke taqreeban nisf par hain, aur Mashriq-e-Wusta se Asia tak khaam tel ki tarseel ka kiraya record satah ke qareeb hai.
IEA ne kaha ke Russia ke tawanai ke dhaanche par hamle bhi diesel ki rasad kam kar rahe hain, aur aane wale mahinon mein IEA ke hangami diesel zakhair ka tez tar ijra madadgar sabit hoga.
Agle saal talab bahal hone ki tawaqqo
Agency ko tawaqqo hai ke is saal tel ki aalmi talab 2.7 million barrel yomia kam ho kar 102.3 million reh jayegi, jiske baad taqreeban March se dobara izafa shuru hoga aur 2027 mein talab 2 million barrel yomia barhegi.
2026 mein rasad 4.8 million barrel yomia kam hone ka imkaan hai, jiske baad 2027 mein yeh 6.6 million barh kar 108.1 million barrel yomia ho jayegi, jismein Khaleej se 5.3 million ka izafa shaamil hai. IEA ne Irani tarseel par rukawaton ki wajah se 2027 ke liye rasad ki pesh goi kam kar di.
Agency ko tawaqqo hai ke chauthi sehmahi mein surplus barqarar rahega aur 2027 mein barhega, taham usne khabardar kiya ke jahaz rani par hamle “samundari salamti ko kamzor karte hain, jo paidar bahali ke liye kaleedi hai”. Khaleej Taawun Council ne is hafte Aqwam-e-Muttahida ko bataya ke jang shuru hone ke baad se Iran un par 7,000 se zaid missile aur drone daagh chuka hai.
Pakistan mein do din mein do baar petrol ki qeemat kam ki gayi hai, aur Hafte se yeh Rs330 fi litre ho gayi hai, jabke diesel Rs360 par barqarar hai.
