DUBAI (The Thursday Times) — International Energy Agency (IEA) ke takhminon aur Irani wazarat-e-tel ke adad-o-shumar ke mutabiq October mein Iran ki khaam tel ki paidawar kam ho kar rozana 18 lakh 60 hazar barrel reh gayi, jo jang se pehle ki satah se 46 feesad kam hai aur ab us miqdar se bhi kam hai jo jang se pehle mulk ki refineries saaf karti thin.
Wazarat-e-tel ke adad-o-shumar ke mutabiq 2024–25 ke Irani saal mein, larai se paidawar aur refining mutasir hone se pehle, Irani refineries rozana 18 lakh 73 hazar barrel se zyada tel istemal kar rahi thin. Us ke baad lagaye gaye naye processing units se refineries ki zaroorat barh sakti hai, jabke jang se hone wale nuqsan ki wajah se andaroon-e-mulk asal talab ab jang se pehle ki satah se mukhtalif ho sakti hai.
Paidawar mein yeh kami aise waqt aayi hai jab Amriki bahri naka bandi ne Irani khaam tel ko aalmi mandiyon se door rakha hua hai. Tajziyati firm Kpler ke tanker tracking data ke mutabiq Iran se khaam tel ki loading August ke wast mein ruk gayi thi, jis ke baad Tehran ke paas paidawar ko utna hi rakhne ke siwa koi chara nahin raha jitna us ki apni refineries khapa sakein.
Refineries par dabao
Kpler ke senior tajziya kaar Homayoun Falakshahi ne Jumeraat ko kaha ke haaliya mahinon mein Iran ki naphtha ki loading rozana taqreeban aik lakh barrel kam hui hai aur fuel oil ki loading jang se pehle ki satah ke 15 feesad tak gir gayi hai. Un ka kehna tha ke agar Iran apna naphtha bar-aamad na kar saka to use refinery ke kuch units juzwi taur par band karne par sakte hain.
Naphtha zyada tar petrochemicals ke khaam maal ke taur par istemal hota hai. Assaluyeh aur Mahshahr mein Iran ke sab se bare petrochemical complexes ke kai units, jo mil kar mulk ki taqreeban 70 feesad petrochemical paidawar dete hain, jang ke dauran nishana bane, jis ki wajah se yeh sanat izafi maal andaroon-e-mulk kam hi khapa sakti hai. Rozana 35 hazar barrel gunjaish wali Lavan ki chhoti refinery ko bhi nuqsan pohncha.
Kuch masnoaat ab bhi bahar ja rahi hain. Kpler ke data ke mutabiq maae petroleum gas (LPG) ki tarseel kam satah par jaari hai, aur wakalati group United Against Nuclear Iran ka kehna hai ke naka bandi shuru hone ke baad se LPG ke 11 Irani cargo use uboor kar chuke hain, jabke mazeed 12 chhote tanker Khaleej-e-Oman mein langar andaaz ho kar intezar kar rahe hain. Naphtha ke kisi cargo ke naka bandi se nikalne ki koi tasdeeq shuda ittila nahin.
Khaleeji harifon ki bahali
Khaleej ke baqi mumalik ulti simt ja rahe hain. OPEC ke adad-o-shumar ke mutabiq us ke rukn mumalik ne, yakum May ko tanzeem chhorne wale Muttahida Arab Emarat samet, October mein rozana 2 crore 71 lakh 60 hazar barrel tel nikala, jo September se 19 lakh 60 hazar barrel zyada hai. Iran ki paidawar 2025 ki satah se rozana 13 lakh 40 hazar barrel kam rahi, jabke Iraq aur Muttahida Arab Emarat ne mil kar 13 lakh barrel ka izafa kiya.
Iraq ne October mein rozana 45 lakh barrel tel nikala, aur us ke wazir-e-tel ka kehna hai ke November mein paidawar 50 lakh barrel se tajawuz kar gayi. Saudi Arab ka kehna hai ke us ne apni paidawar rozana aik crore 5 lakh barrel tak barha di hai, aur OPEC ke adad-o-shumar mein bhi mamlakat ki paidawar jang shuru hone ke baad ki buland tareen satah par bahal hoti dikhai di.
IEA ne is hafte kaha ke jang shuru hone ke baad pehli baar October mein tel ki aalmi rasad talab se barh gayi, aur mahine ke dauran samandar mein tankers mein maujood tel ke zakhair 8 crore 60 lakh barrel barh gaye, jis se mandi dobara surplus mein chali gayi.
