ABU DHABI (The Thursday Times) — Fitch Ratings ne Muttahida Arab Emarat ki khudmukhtar credit rating mustahkam outlook ke saath AA- par barqarar rakhi hai, taham agency ka andaza hai ke Iran jang ki wajah se is saal mulk ki ghair-tail maeeshat taqreeban 1.5 fisad sukar jayegi.
Agency ki paish goi hai ke 2026 mein UAE ki haqeeqi GDP phir bhi 0.5 fisad barhegi, jise tail aur gas ki paidawar mein taqreeban 7 fisad izafa sahara dega. Use tawaqqo hai ke agle saal hydrocarbon paidawar 26 fisad barh jayegi, kyunke ab UAE ki paidawar OPEC+ ke quotas ki paband nahin rahi. UAE ne May mein baqaida taur par OPEC chhor diya tha.
“Mustahkam outlook Iran jang ke dauran tail ki baraamdi aamdan ki saabit shuda lachak ki akkasi karta hai, jo jang ke fauri manfi asar ko bari had tak poora kar deti hai, neez wafir maaliyati aur bairooni zakhaair aur hamari is tawaqqo ki bhi ke jang ki laagat wafaqi hukoomat ke bajaye infiradi emarat bardasht karengi,” Fitch ne kaha.
Dubai ab bhi 2025 se neeche
Fitch ne kaha ke jang ke asraat se sambhalte hue Dubai ki haqeeqi GDP agle saal bhi 2025 ki satah se neeche rahegi. Guzishta maah jari sarkari aadad-o-shumar ke mutabiq 2026 ki pehli shashmahi mein Dubai ki maeeshat aik saal pehle ke muqable mein 2.3 fisad sukar kar 473 arab dirham (128.8 arab dollar) reh gayi, jabke maaliyati khidmaat, sehat aur taameeraat mein taraqqi deegar shobon ki kamzori ko sirf juzvi taur par poora kar saki.
“Fitch ko tawaqqo hai ke tamam emarat bahali ke programme shuru karengi, lekin hamari paish goi ki muddat ke dauran ghair-tail shobe ki rujhani taraqqi jang se pehle ki satah se kam rahegi,” agency ne kaha.
Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre ke mutabiq pehli shashmahi mein majmui taur par UAE ki maeeshat 0.4 fisad barh kar 961.9 arab dirham ho gayi. UAE ke naib sadr aur Dubai ke hukmaran Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum ne guzishta hafte kaha tha ke saal ke pehle nau maah mein mulk ki bairooni tijarat taqreeban 3 trillion dirham ki record satah ke qareeb pahunch gayi.
Abu Dhabi ke maali zakhaair
AA- Fitch ke paimane par chautha buland tareen darja hai. Agency ke mutabiq ye rating kam majmui sarkari qarz, mazboot khalis bairooni asason aur fi kas buland aamdan ki akkasi karti hai. Us ne kaha ke Abu Dhabi ke khudmukhtar khalis ghair mulki asasay, jo is saal UAE ki GDP ke andazan 180 fisad ke barabar hain, us ki rating wale kisi bhi mulk ke muqable mein buland tareen mein se hain. Fitch ne May mein khud Abu Dhabi ko AA rating di thi.
Agency ko tawaqqo hai ke is saal Abu Dhabi ki baraamdi aamdan jang se pehle ki paish goi se zyada rahegi, jis ki wajah khaam tail ki buland qeematein aur Fujairah tak pipeline aur Aabnae Hormuz ke raaste zyada miqdar mein tarseel hai.
“Baraamdaat ka bara hissa khaam tail hai, aur hamare khayal mein Abu Dhabi ka tail baraamdi dhancha taweel muddati nuqsan ke lehaz se zyada murtakiz aur makhsoos downstream tail ya LNG plants ki nisbat kam khatre mein hai,” Fitch ne kaha.
UAE ke sadr ke sifarati musheer Anwar Gargash ne X par is faisle ka khair maqdam kiya aur kaha ke ye ilaqai bohran ke dauran qaumi maeeshat ki mazbooti ko zahir karta hai.
Jang ne Khaleeji maeeshaton ko shadeed mutasir kiya hai. Emaar ke bani Mohamed Alabbar ne is hafte kaha ke company ke malls mein aane walon ki tadaad 10 fisad kam ho gayi hai, jabke credit insurance company Allianz Trade ka andaza hai ke jang se Khaleeji maeeshaton ko 2030 tak 790 arab dollar ka nuqsan hoga. Secretary tijarat ne is hafte bataya ke Pakistan, jis ke liye UAE tarseelat-e-zar ke bare zaraye mein shamil hai, jang ki wajah se pehle hi Khaleeji baraamdaat mein 38 crore 70 lakh dollar ka nuqsan utha chuka hai.
